Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 2.714423 2.852221 2.996930 3.160874 3.342260 3.537750 3.765656
2025-11-09 2.445155 2.633294 2.840401 3.087639 3.377978 3.712376 4.133220
2025-11-16 2.263770 2.481438 2.729470 3.037626 3.417158 3.879445 4.502614
2025-11-23 2.141326 2.380382 2.660468 3.020207 3.481882 4.073397 4.924988
2025-11-30 2.054645 2.311288 2.619233 3.026492 3.569092 4.298444 5.420061
2025-12-07 1.965844 2.231469 2.556092 2.995409 3.598734 4.443043 5.819459
2025-12-14 1.869124 2.135086 2.464335 2.917305 3.553301 4.470693 6.036338
2025-12-21 1.817851 2.092184 2.437098 2.921246 3.620028 4.667877 6.569325
2025-12-28 1.790601 2.077620 2.444624 2.971382 3.755862 4.987143 7.398650
2026-01-04 1.732910 2.020455 2.391881 2.932287 3.752967 5.079405 7.815096
2026-01-11 1.700052 1.994011 2.378522 2.947592 3.833636 5.321927 8.618370
2026-01-18 1.684970 1.990010 2.394895 3.006337 3.987523 5.717062 9.932187
2026-01-25 1.641691 1.949142 2.361844 2.994986 4.035759 5.944939 11.010878
2026-02-01 1.582044 1.884289 2.292772 2.925500 3.981251 5.967715 11.550140
2026-02-08 1.533533 1.832940 2.240657 2.879057 3.962513 6.062140 12.391848
2026-02-15 1.497553 1.797385 2.209366 2.862848 3.995071 6.271633 13.810075
2026-02-22 1.470445 1.772947 2.192752 2.868374 4.066884 6.583690 15.985909
2026-03-01 1.435725 1.736529 2.156847 2.840161 4.072705 6.744227 17.731098
2026-03-08 1.391364 1.685167 2.096930 2.769297 3.991067 6.677227 18.242561
2026-03-15 1.369662 1.665128 2.082650 2.772866 4.053386 6.986625 21.552599
2026-03-22 1.360154 1.661965 2.093247 2.818349 4.203247 7.570924 28.909642
2026-03-29 1.330659 1.629175 2.057640 2.782884 4.184503 7.679544 32.634429
2026-04-05 1.314911 1.615714 2.050940 2.796772 4.270050 8.124072 44.089647